Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.073043 0.081977 0.091116 0.101136 0.111784 0.122734 0.134817
2025-06-08 0.055657 0.068607 0.082551 0.098545 0.116250 0.135129 0.156661
2025-06-15 0.046970 0.062500 0.079914 0.100569 0.124106 0.149825 0.179797
2025-06-22 0.040066 0.057209 0.077141 0.101472 0.129865 0.161501 0.198986
2025-06-29 0.036636 0.055448 0.077967 0.106074 0.139464 0.177203 0.222452
2025-07-06 0.031890 0.051469 0.075653 0.106545 0.143913 0.186747 0.238703
2025-07-13 0.031275 0.052623 0.079523 0.114378 0.156999 0.206265 0.266427
2025-07-20 0.026353 0.047570 0.075200 0.111828 0.157387 0.210732 0.276548
2025-07-27 0.024702 0.046806 0.076240 0.115846 0.165650 0.224439 0.297435
2025-08-03 0.022060 0.044367 0.074876 0.116653 0.169849 0.233221 0.312473
2025-08-10 0.019854 0.042340 0.073895 0.117816 0.174387 0.242341 0.327866
2025-08-17 0.017791 0.040315 0.072759 0.118649 0.178416 0.250779 0.342407
2025-08-24 0.014428 0.036032 0.068434 0.115383 0.177530 0.253638 0.350840
2025-08-31 0.011626 0.032305 0.064678 0.112741 0.177388 0.257434 0.360509
2025-09-07 0.010368 0.031096 0.064519 0.114955 0.183503 0.268982 0.379626
2025-09-14 0.008981 0.029440 0.063547 0.115935 0.187936 0.278393 0.396123
2025-09-21 0.008574 0.029628 0.065407 0.120914 0.197673 0.294504 0.420905
2025-09-28 0.007341 0.027950 0.064201 0.121423 0.201398 0.302992 0.436280
2025-10-05 0.007676 0.029638 0.068456 0.129880 0.215852 0.325168 0.468685
2025-10-12 0.006050 0.026766 0.065104 0.127129 0.215097 0.327915 0.476940
2025-10-19 0.005722 0.026810 0.066572 0.131463 0.223970 0.342998 0.500593
2025-10-26 0.004919 0.025554 0.065750 0.132333 0.228073 0.351940 0.516577
2025-11-02 0.004257 0.024511 0.065217 0.133586 0.232674 0.361511 0.533354